Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.140509 0.159781 0.181151 0.206675 0.236427 0.270122 0.311330
2025-12-28 0.110865 0.136749 0.168275 0.209825 0.263628 0.331599 0.425015
2026-01-04 0.093077 0.121745 0.159138 0.212179 0.286610 0.389047 0.543704
2026-01-11 0.081198 0.111244 0.152633 0.214949 0.308396 0.446618 0.672913
2026-01-18 0.073187 0.104292 0.149188 0.220373 0.333552 0.512140 0.827018
2026-01-25 0.065759 0.096876 0.143612 0.221094 0.350748 0.567399 0.975848
2026-02-01 0.059519 0.090288 0.138154 0.220742 0.365484 0.620414 1.132024
2026-02-08 0.053953 0.083989 0.132200 0.218414 0.375994 0.667274 1.286935
2026-02-15 0.049174 0.078363 0.126563 0.215635 0.384896 0.712256 1.448365
2026-02-22 0.046359 0.075641 0.125405 0.220505 0.408612 0.790007 1.699435
2026-03-01 0.042639 0.070962 0.120277 0.217242 0.415747 0.835027 1.887686
2026-03-08 0.039868 0.067652 0.117194 0.217401 0.429715 0.897080 2.134059
2026-03-15 0.037244 0.064402 0.113970 0.217051 0.443024 0.961455 2.409074
2026-03-22 0.035539 0.062677 0.113430 0.222116 0.469178 1.061786 2.816137
2026-03-29 0.033736 0.060585 0.111942 0.224960 0.490762 1.155791 3.238407
2026-04-05 0.032121 0.058694 0.110633 0.227985 0.513288 1.257379 3.722195
2026-04-12 0.030923 0.057498 0.110589 0.233802 0.543713 1.387508 4.352517
2026-04-19 0.029353 0.055414 0.108481 0.234576 0.561442 1.486340 4.915273
2026-04-26 0.027819 0.053268 0.106024 0.234199 0.576097 1.579883 5.500047
2026-05-03 0.026243 0.050903 0.102864 0.231708 0.584597 1.656886 6.055373
2026-05-10 0.024762 0.048618 0.099669 0.228734 0.591280 1.730054 6.630727
2026-05-17 0.024002 0.047810 0.099698 0.233946 0.622666 1.893664 7.694819
2026-05-24 0.022686 0.045689 0.096534 0.230454 0.627487 1.967207 8.374923